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News for: Bond Markets
Showing 313 - 336 of 369 results
Jun 16, 2025 1:00 PM — Bond Markets
Mortgage Rates Drift Slightly Higher to Start The Week
Despite political and geopolitical headlines, the bond market has seen little inspiration in the past 2 business days. Bonds and rates have moved slightly lower, possibly in response to last Thursday's lower rates or in anticipation of caution ahead of upcoming data and a Fed announcement. The losses have been modest, leaving rates in the middle of their range over the past 2 months. Retail Sales ... more
Jun 16, 2025 7:00 AM — Bond Markets
Slow Start Leaves Focus on The Next 2 Days
Bonds rallied last Wednesday and Thursday but pulled back slightly on Friday. Trading levels at the start of the new week are similar to Friday's levels. The focus is on Wednesday's Fed dot plot for potential bond market volatility. Geopolitical headlines have not had a significant impact on bonds. The overall trend appears rangebound, but there is evidence of a general downtrend.
Jun 14, 2025 6:02 AM — Bond Markets
Not Reading Too Much Into Friday's Weakness
The bond market experienced a selling spree possibly sparked by Consumer Sentiment, although there were nuances in the timing and reasons behind the selling. Selling began after the unofficial opening bell for bond market trading and continued despite a delay after the data release. Traders may be moving to the sidelines ahead of next week's potential geopolitical developments and Fed announcement... more
Jun 13, 2025 7:00 AM — Bond Markets
Opening Weaker Despite Israel/Iran Headlines
Israel's attack on Iran caused stock market gains to be erased and pushed bond yields to the lowest levels in over a month. The overnight trading pattern is unpredictable and despite the volatility, over-analyzing it may not be worth it. There are various factors at play influencing bond yields, including economic strength and inflation, with oil prices potentially being an ancillary consideration... more
Jun 12, 2025 7:00 AM — Bond Markets
Higher Bar For Additional Gains Despite Lower PPI
The PPI core monthly number came in at 0.1 vs the forecast of 0.3, leading to a small rally in bonds that was not as significant as the previous day's rally. The outcome may have been priced in to some extent, and the yield curve and Fed Funds Rate expectations are also factors to consider.
Jun 11, 2025 2:02 PM — Bond Markets
Nice Rally on Data and Auction Results
Bonds had a straightforward session on Wednesday, rallying after a large CPI beat and a well-received 10yr Treasury auction. Both shorter and longer maturities saw gains, with 10yr yields down 3.7bps at 4.439 and MBS up a quick quarter point. The day ended with MBS hitting new highs and bonds at new low yields.
Jun 10, 2025 2:00 PM — Bond Markets
No Drama Today. How About Tomorrow?
After a slow start, the bond market remained flat throughout the day despite a weak 3yr Treasury auction. Trade talks between the US and China are potentially extending into a 3rd day. Tomorrow's focus will be on trade-related news, a 10yr Treasury auction, and CPI data. The market cares more about long-term inflation outlook rather than current data.
Jun 10, 2025 8:00 AM — Bond Markets
Bumpy Start; No Data; Waiting on Auction and Trade Headlines
Bonds are experiencing a small amount of volatility this morning, but it is not significant in the overall market. MBS have returned to unchanged levels after a brief moment of weakness at 10:15am ET. 10-year yields rose slightly but are still almost 1 basis point lower. The Treasury auction and trade-related headlines are expected to drive any bigger-picture momentum in the absence of relevant ec... more
Jun 9, 2025 1:51 PM — Bond Markets
Gentle Rally Gently Reverses After Trade Headlines
Bond markets closed stronger, maintaining most of the gains from the morning. However, a slight increase in 10yr yields later in the day was attributed to positive comments on US/China trade talks. The market's reaction to trade-related headlines was evident. MBS increased by 3 ticks and 10yr yields decreased by 1.3bps.
Jun 9, 2025 6:51 AM — Bond Markets
Shifting Gears After Friday's Volatility
The bond market is currently in a stable range due to recent economic data. 10yr yields are hovering between 4.4 and 4.56. With no major data releases expected, market movements will be influenced by fiscal/trade headlines.
Jun 7, 2025 9:02 AM — Bond Markets
Perfectly Logical Reaction to On-Target Data
The bond market experienced a sell-off following a modest beat in the NFP report, despite negative revisions. Wednesday's rally was based on expectations for Friday's jobs report, which did not meet expectations. The NFP remains at decent levels and is not as concerning as recent weaker data would suggest.
Jun 7, 2025 3:02 AM — Bond Markets
Jobs Report Not Bad Enough to Justify The Lead-Off
The bond market was initially expecting a lower number for the non-farm payroll report due to recent weaker economic data, but when the actual number came out at 139k, traders rushed to get back into a more neutral position. The unemployment rate remains relatively steady at 4.2% and the previous month's NFP revision does not indicate significant weakness.
Jun 5, 2025 2:00 PM — Bond Markets
Bonds Dial Back Ahead of Big Jobs Report
Bonds had an interesting day with a hawkish European Central Bank announcement, news of a Trump/Xi phone call affecting trade relations, a Trump/Musk social media exchange impacting stocks, and market movements ahead of the jobs report. Overnight, MBS were slightly stronger but lost ground after the ECB announcement.
Jun 5, 2025 7:17 AM — Bond Markets
Bumpy Start; Data Overshadowed by Other Events
Bonds initially rallied in the morning but quickly reversed gains, with the shift attributed to stock market volatility and the Trump/Xi call, as well as the ECB announcement. This led to Treasuries and MBS returning to roughly unchanged levels.
Jun 4, 2025 8:24 AM — Bond Markets
JOLTS Data Didn't Help, But it Didn't Hurt Much Either
Bond market showed moderate strength overnight, weakened after Job Openings data was released but recovered in the afternoon. Headlines about the Senate taking up the budget bill did not have a significant impact on the bond market. Overall, bonds closed roughly unchanged. Next focus is on ISM Services data. 10yr yields ended slightly higher at 4.47, MBS slightly down, but there was a decent recov... more
Jun 4, 2025 8:23 AM — Bond Markets
Weaker Econ Data. Lower Yields
The bond market had a simple morning as key economic reports came in weaker than expected. ADP employment numbers were significantly lower than forecasted, while ISM Services data showed weaker growth metrics but an increase in the employment index. The ISM price index also continues to rise, catching the attention of the bond market.
Jun 2, 2025 4:00 PM — Bond Markets
New Month Selling Trumps ISM Data
The bond market experienced some excess strength due to month-end trading last week, resulting in the lowest yields of the day. However, the yields were still targeted by sellers leading to a modest correction at the beginning of a new month. Despite the correction, yields remained towards the lower end of the recent range.
Jun 2, 2025 8:01 AM — Bond Markets
Softer Start Despite Tame ISM Manufacturing Data
The ISM Manufacturing PMI report has the potential to influence the bond market, with today's weaker result helping bonds avoid additional weakness. 10yr yields are slightly lower, hovering around 4.45%, as investors await more data.
May 31, 2025 3:01 AM — Bond Markets
Strongest Close of the Week After Well-Contained Month-End Volatility
Today's economic data had little impact as it met expectations. Month-end trading environment likely influenced bond market, resulting in bonds reaching strongest levels of the week by a small margin.
May 29, 2025 1:00 PM — Bond Markets
Mortgage Rates Move Slightly Lower After Today's Data
There was behind-the-scenes volatility in the bond market today, but it had a minimal impact on mortgage lenders. The bond market initially weakened due to news on tariffs, but reversed after the release of weak economic data. The weaker data was good for bonds and rates, leading to a modest drop in the average conventional 30yr fixed rate.
May 29, 2025 8:00 AM — Bond Markets
Overnight Trading Makes No Guarantees
Overnight trading initially reacted to news of a U.S. trade court blocking Trump tariffs, but the markets quickly reversed course the following morning. Bond traders do not believe the court ruling will have a lasting impact on tariff policy. Economic data released in the morning also contributed to the reversal, with weaker claims and GDP numbers.
May 29, 2025 7:01 AM — Bond Markets
Minimal Movement Amid Absence of Data
The bond market had a fairly uneventful session, with the 5yr Treasury auction resulting in little change. Traders sold off before the auction and bought back in afterwards. The Federal Reserve Minutes did not have much impact on market volatility. Economic data in the coming days may influence market movement, along with month-end trading potentially causing significant swings for unknown reasons... more
May 28, 2025 10:00 AM — Bond Markets
Hesitation Ahead of Treasury Auction and Month-End
Bonds started the week positively but are now facing resistance, highlighting the need for a strong catalyst for sustained improvement. Possible factors include weak economic data, low inflation, or reduced Treasury issuance. Today, bonds are pausing ahead of a 5yr Treasury auction, with risk parity trading affecting both stocks and bonds.
May 27, 2025 3:01 PM — Bond Markets
Bonds Finally Seeing Some Support
Japanese bonds, weak labor market data, and re-positioning after a holiday weekend contributed to bonds hitting their best 3pm close in 2 weeks. The heavy selling in May and recovery from high yields suggests a short-term ceiling until further notice. The upcoming week's data will provide more information on momentum shifts.
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