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News for: Treasury Rates
Showing 1 - 24 of 28 results
Oct 16, 2026 12:44 PM
— Treasury Rates
US budget deficit grows to nearly $2 trillion, highest since 2021
The US federal budget deficit rose 12% to $1.99 trillion in fiscal year 2026, driven in part by record interest payments on public debt and increased spending. Higher Treasury yields are raising borrowing costs and may put upward pressure on mortgage rates. Tariff refunds and weaker corporate tax receipts also offset revenue gains, while persistent geopolitical risks could widen the deficit furthe... more
Oct 16, 2026 12:19 PM
— Treasury Rates
The US federal budget deficit for 2026 just came in. It’s $1.992 trillion.
The US federal budget deficit reached $1.992 trillion in fiscal 2026, up 12% from the prior year and about 6% of GDP. National debt has exceeded $40.3 trillion, while annual interest costs have reached a record $1.1 trillion. Analysts warn deficits could grow further, despite administration claims that the fiscal outlook is improving; tariff refunds and rising government spending have contributed ... more
Oct 15, 2026 6:42 AM
— Treasury Rates
What's Up With The Huge Paradoxical Rally?!
Treasury bonds rallied despite a hotter-than-expected core PPI reading, as investors judged the data would have little effect on near-term PCE inflation. Concerns about an AI-related debt bubble and losses in AI stocks prompted a shift toward Treasuries, while elevated yields made bonds attractive. The rally may be the start of a larger yield correction, but it could reverse if AI-related worries ... more
Oct 15, 2026 12:39 AM
— Treasury Rates
Mortgage Rates Watch the 10-Year Yield Slip Before PPI and Retail Sales | Today, October 15, 2026
The article reports that the 10-year Treasury yield declined to 5.1%, down from 5.228% in the previous report and 5.19% at Wednesday’s close. It also notes that Treasury yield movements can influence mortgage pricing.
Oct 14, 2026 6:04 AM
— Treasury Rates
Inflation uptick puts pressure on Fed to hike again
Rising Treasury yields are pushing up mortgage and other borrowing costs, while investors anticipate the Federal Reserve will keep fighting inflation. The article also notes strong consumer spending and higher oil prices as factors adding pressure to rates.
Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM
— Treasury Rates
Student loan interest rates in October 2026
The article explains that federal student loan rates for loans disbursed from July 2026 through June 2027 are 6.52% for undergraduate subsidized and unsubsidized loans, while private student loan rates vary widely based on credit and other factors. Federal rates are fixed annually using the 10-year Treasury auction yield; private lenders commonly use benchmarks such as SOFR and may offer fixed or ... more
Oct 8, 2026 2:43 PM
— Treasury Rates
Yields Plummet to Best Level In...
The article discusses the recent rally in 10-year Treasury yields, which fell to 5.622%, indicating a positive trend for bond prices. The decline in yields is attributed to investors buying the dip and external factors like war-related headlines. Although there is some optimism regarding a potential significant shift in the bond market, it emphasizes that yields must drop below 5.0% within the nex... more
Oct 7, 2026 3:01 PM
— Treasury Rates
Full Recovery!
The article discusses fluctuations in 10-year Treasury yields, which reached new long-term highs of 5.36% but recovered by the afternoon due to a well-received Treasury auction. It highlights how ETF tradeflows and retail investor activity may have contributed to the morning's volatility and notes the impact of oil prices on these swings. Ultimately, yields showed slight decline while Mortgage-Bac... more
Oct 6, 2026 8:04 AM
— Treasury Rates
Overnight Adaptive Cruise, Following Oil
The article describes recent volatility in bond rates, likening it to reckless driving. It mentions a slight stabilization influenced by oil prices, but notes that this is more of a minor correction rather than a significant change. The 10-year Treasury yields are struggling to surpass 5.26%, indicating resistance, while there is a mention of an upcoming 3-year Treasury auction that might garner s... more
Mar 19, 2026 5:31 PM
— Treasury Rates
Treasury yields hit months-long highs after FOMC
Weekly jobless claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index were reported to be lower than expected, leading to negative market reactions. Treasuries rallied and broke key levels, but face resistance and unchanged rate-cut expectations. Treasury yields look oversold but still indicate a broader uptrend, and swung wildly after a soft jobs report, causing concerns about the rate path ahead.
Mar 19, 2026 5:30 AM
— Treasury Rates
Bonds Ignore Oil in Favor of Repricing The Rate Outlook
In March 2026, there is a significant correlation between the bond rout and energy prices, with the rise in bond yields not entirely matching the flat oil prices. The selling of 2yr Treasuries is worse than 10yr Treasuries due to changing expectations of a rate hike in April, reflecting a shift towards higher short-term rates.
Feb 18, 2026 12:30 PM
— Treasury Rates
Key Technical Level, But Does it Matter?
The 10yr Treasury yield is approaching but not breaking the resistance at 4.00%. This level has been a pivot point since late 2022 and has seen resistance frequently since September. Economic data and Fed Minutes are not expected to prompt a break in yield. Without new bullish motivations, yields are expected to remain range-bound.
Feb 6, 2026 9:34 AM
— Treasury Rates
Waiting on Next Week's Data
Friday is a quiet day with only Consumer Sentiment report, bonds are unchanged from yesterday, Treasury yields are slightly higher but still within proper closing levels. Market is waiting for next week's big jobs report before making any major moves.
Feb 4, 2026 6:30 AM
— Treasury Rates
Waiting on ISM Services as Early Data Fails to Inspire
Today's key reports included ADP Employment and ISM Services. ADP Employment came out softer than expected but bonds did not react. Treasury release financing estimates for the quarter, which were as-expected. However, Treasury noted that issuance would likely need to increase in fiscal year 2027, potentially leading to higher rates. The reminder of potential higher issuance may have prompted some... more
Jan 21, 2026 4:31 AM
— Treasury Rates
Treasury curve steepens after Danish pension retreat
News of Danish pension funds exiting the US Treasury markets led to dramatic curve steepening trades at the market openings. Treasury yields have climbed to their highest level in over two months due to losses in global government-bond markets.
Jan 20, 2026 6:30 AM
— Treasury Rates
Bonds Brace For Greenland Fallout. Japan Not Helping Either
Trump's aspirations for Greenland are leading to increased tariffs and potential trade deal suspensions with the EU. A Danish pension fund has announced the liquidation of its Treasury holdings, sparking concerns that other EU countries may follow suit. Debt drama in Japan is also causing a surge in Japanese yields and affecting US Treasuries.
Jan 14, 2026 5:30 AM
— Treasury Rates
Today's Data is Proving Less Tradeable, But Doing No Harm
10yr Treasury futures volumes spiked after yesterday's CPI release, which showed PPI at its highest level since July but lower than expected core results. Retail sales were stronger at the headline level but core results were as expected. Overall, there is no negative news for bonds as yields remain unchanged to slightly lower.
Dec 29, 2025 7:36 AM
— Treasury Rates
Mostly Sideways Despite Some Help From Europe
This week's holiday closure, combined with a lack of significant economic data, may result in limited volatility in the market. A modest rally in EU bonds has led to some overnight gains in Treasuries, but the market activity is expected to be influenced by end-of-month/quarter/year trading.
Dec 18, 2025 4:31 AM
— Treasury Rates
Quiet Calendar Ahead of Thursday's CPI
Wednesday is seen as a placeholder day for traders as 2025's relevant trading days diminish. Thursday's CPI report is highlighted as an important economic data point and could impact the Fed's upcoming rate cut decisions in January. The trading day's significance is dependent on Treasury yields staying between 4.10 and 4.20, with a slight morning recovery bringing yields to 4.10.
Oct 28, 2025 3:06 AM
— Treasury Rates
Pre-Fed Consolidation, Pre-Auction Concession
The ongoing shutdown has resulted in limited economic data, leading to smaller, more range-bound movements in Treasury yields. A recent CPI report was decent but not good enough, helping to establish the floor of the current yield range. The market is now focused on the impending Fed announcement and whether it will be dovish or hawkish. Additionally, underwriting the week's accelerated Treasury a... more
Oct 8, 2025 1:27 PM
— Treasury Rates
Some Selling Pressure After Auction and Fed Minutes
The market was focused on the 10yr Treasury auction and the release of the Fed Minutes, with the auction being slightly weaker than expected and the Minutes revealing concerns about inflation among some members.
Oct 8, 2025 6:29 AM
— Treasury Rates
Light Calendar; Afternoon in Focus
Despite a few Fed speakers scheduled, their comments are not expected to have a significant impact. The average Fed speech tends to focus on concerns about inflation and the labor market. The main events to watch for today are the 1pm 10yr Treasury auction and the 2pm Fed Minutes. Bonds have had a positive beginning to the day with low volatility in the first hour and a half.
Aug 6, 2025 2:24 PM
— Treasury Rates
More Ground-Holding Despite Weird Intraday Spike
There was some unexpected movement in the bond market mid-day as yields shot up 3bps in minutes, but later, the market stabilized and erased the weakness. No solid explanations were provided for the sudden occurrence, which is common in the market. Overall, 10yr Treasury rates remained relatively unchanged throughout the day.
Aug 5, 2025 4:24 AM
— Treasury Rates
Holding Friday's Gains
The upcoming week has less significant events scheduled compared to the previous week, with Tuesday's ISM Non Manufacturing PMI being the only noteworthy data release. The Treasury auction cycle is expected to be slightly more interesting due to recent market movements. The market is currently in a range following a post-NFP rally, with attention being drawn to potential resistance at the 4.20 tec... more
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Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@loanglass.com.
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.
The mortgage rates displayed on this site are collected daily from publicly available sources provided by more than 800 lenders. LoanGlass does not receive compensation for listing these rates, and all rates are presented as published by the respective lenders. While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, the information may contain errors or omissions. Mortgage rates are highly dependent on an individual’s financial circumstances, credit profile, loan terms, and other factors. As such, the rates you are quoted directly by a lender may differ materially from the rates displayed here.
Users should contact lenders directly to obtain formal, binding loan offers. If you identify any discrepancies in the data or would like to have your institution’s rates included, please contact us at content@loanglass.com.
All logos, trademarks, and brand names appearing on this website are the property of their respective owners.
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