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News for: Treasury Rates
Showing 1 - 19 of 19 results
Mar 19, 2026 5:31 PM — Treasury Rates
Treasury yields hit months-long highs after FOMC
Weekly jobless claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index were reported to be lower than expected, leading to negative market reactions. Treasuries rallied and broke key levels, but face resistance and unchanged rate-cut expectations. Treasury yields look oversold but still indicate a broader uptrend, and swung wildly after a soft jobs report, causing concerns about the rate path ahead.
Mar 19, 2026 5:30 AM — Treasury Rates
Bonds Ignore Oil in Favor of Repricing The Rate Outlook
In March 2026, there is a significant correlation between the bond rout and energy prices, with the rise in bond yields not entirely matching the flat oil prices. The selling of 2yr Treasuries is worse than 10yr Treasuries due to changing expectations of a rate hike in April, reflecting a shift towards higher short-term rates.
Feb 18, 2026 12:30 PM — Treasury Rates
Key Technical Level, But Does it Matter?
The 10yr Treasury yield is approaching but not breaking the resistance at 4.00%. This level has been a pivot point since late 2022 and has seen resistance frequently since September. Economic data and Fed Minutes are not expected to prompt a break in yield. Without new bullish motivations, yields are expected to remain range-bound.
Feb 6, 2026 9:34 AM — Treasury Rates
Waiting on Next Week's Data
Friday is a quiet day with only Consumer Sentiment report, bonds are unchanged from yesterday, Treasury yields are slightly higher but still within proper closing levels. Market is waiting for next week's big jobs report before making any major moves.
Feb 4, 2026 6:30 AM — Treasury Rates
Waiting on ISM Services as Early Data Fails to Inspire
Today's key reports included ADP Employment and ISM Services. ADP Employment came out softer than expected but bonds did not react. Treasury release financing estimates for the quarter, which were as-expected. However, Treasury noted that issuance would likely need to increase in fiscal year 2027, potentially leading to higher rates. The reminder of potential higher issuance may have prompted some... more
Jan 21, 2026 4:31 AM — Treasury Rates
Treasury curve steepens after Danish pension retreat
News of Danish pension funds exiting the US Treasury markets led to dramatic curve steepening trades at the market openings. Treasury yields have climbed to their highest level in over two months due to losses in global government-bond markets.
Jan 20, 2026 6:30 AM — Treasury Rates
Bonds Brace For Greenland Fallout. Japan Not Helping Either
Trump's aspirations for Greenland are leading to increased tariffs and potential trade deal suspensions with the EU. A Danish pension fund has announced the liquidation of its Treasury holdings, sparking concerns that other EU countries may follow suit. Debt drama in Japan is also causing a surge in Japanese yields and affecting US Treasuries.
Jan 14, 2026 5:30 AM — Treasury Rates
Today's Data is Proving Less Tradeable, But Doing No Harm
10yr Treasury futures volumes spiked after yesterday's CPI release, which showed PPI at its highest level since July but lower than expected core results. Retail sales were stronger at the headline level but core results were as expected. Overall, there is no negative news for bonds as yields remain unchanged to slightly lower.
Dec 29, 2025 7:36 AM — Treasury Rates
Mostly Sideways Despite Some Help From Europe
This week's holiday closure, combined with a lack of significant economic data, may result in limited volatility in the market. A modest rally in EU bonds has led to some overnight gains in Treasuries, but the market activity is expected to be influenced by end-of-month/quarter/year trading.
Dec 18, 2025 4:31 AM — Treasury Rates
Quiet Calendar Ahead of Thursday's CPI
Wednesday is seen as a placeholder day for traders as 2025's relevant trading days diminish. Thursday's CPI report is highlighted as an important economic data point and could impact the Fed's upcoming rate cut decisions in January. The trading day's significance is dependent on Treasury yields staying between 4.10 and 4.20, with a slight morning recovery bringing yields to 4.10.
Oct 28, 2025 3:06 AM — Treasury Rates
Pre-Fed Consolidation, Pre-Auction Concession
The ongoing shutdown has resulted in limited economic data, leading to smaller, more range-bound movements in Treasury yields. A recent CPI report was decent but not good enough, helping to establish the floor of the current yield range. The market is now focused on the impending Fed announcement and whether it will be dovish or hawkish. Additionally, underwriting the week's accelerated Treasury a... more
Oct 8, 2025 1:27 PM — Treasury Rates
Some Selling Pressure After Auction and Fed Minutes
The market was focused on the 10yr Treasury auction and the release of the Fed Minutes, with the auction being slightly weaker than expected and the Minutes revealing concerns about inflation among some members.
Oct 8, 2025 6:29 AM — Treasury Rates
Light Calendar; Afternoon in Focus
Despite a few Fed speakers scheduled, their comments are not expected to have a significant impact. The average Fed speech tends to focus on concerns about inflation and the labor market. The main events to watch for today are the 1pm 10yr Treasury auction and the 2pm Fed Minutes. Bonds have had a positive beginning to the day with low volatility in the first hour and a half.
Aug 6, 2025 2:24 PM — Treasury Rates
More Ground-Holding Despite Weird Intraday Spike
There was some unexpected movement in the bond market mid-day as yields shot up 3bps in minutes, but later, the market stabilized and erased the weakness. No solid explanations were provided for the sudden occurrence, which is common in the market. Overall, 10yr Treasury rates remained relatively unchanged throughout the day.
Aug 5, 2025 4:24 AM — Treasury Rates
Holding Friday's Gains
The upcoming week has less significant events scheduled compared to the previous week, with Tuesday's ISM Non Manufacturing PMI being the only noteworthy data release. The Treasury auction cycle is expected to be slightly more interesting due to recent market movements. The market is currently in a range following a post-NFP rally, with attention being drawn to potential resistance at the 4.20 tec... more
Jul 14, 2025 8:00 AM — Treasury Rates
Empty Calendar and a Sideways Start
Monday saw low volumes and volatility in trading, with a small amount of selling in Treasuries at 7am but a recovery after the NYSE open. Overall, not much has changed since last Tuesday, with bonds rallying in June but early July weakness erasing those gains. Investors are now waiting for Tuesday's CPI data to see if yields will stay around 4.5%.
May 12, 2025 8:00 AM — Treasury Rates
Yields Jump After Another 90 Day Tariff Pause
The article discusses how trade talks between the US and China have led to a temporary reduction in tariffs, causing 10yr yields to increase to the highest levels since April 11th. The market is uncertain about where things will settle after the negotiations are over, and tariffs could end up being higher than before. This uncertainty is impacting mortgage rates and home buyers, as the Fed and the... more
May 6, 2025 2:00 PM — Treasury Rates
10yr Auction to The Rescue
The recent 10-year Treasury auction had a strong outcome, leading to a drop in yields and an improvement in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). This resulted in mortgage rates becoming more favorable for home buyers. Despite the upcoming Fed announcement, where no rate cut is expected, the market is currently in rally mode with MBS up a quarter point and 10-year Treasury yields down. This positive m... more
May 5, 2025 7:00 AM — Treasury Rates
Another ISM Report That Wasn't Weak Enough to Help Bonds
The ISM Services PMI report was released this morning and showed higher results than expected. This, along with strong Treasury auction cycles and the upcoming Fed announcement, has led to an increase in selling pressure and a rise in yields back to the top of the range seen in March. This could lead to an increase in mortgage rates, which may impact home buyers looking to purchase a property.
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